ࡱ> ` B<bjbjss BV3s84,u1Rh(kkk0000000$2hg51!kk!!1/1 % % %!Z0%!0 % %rl/Tl0F 1$=3#/0,E10u1/u6$u6l0u6l0\kC$|Y kkkk11$Xkkku1!!!!$    World Meteorological Organization Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission    Joint WMO-IOC Technical Commission for Oceanography and Marine Meteorology Sixth Session of the JCOMM Management Committee (MAN) Paris, 3-6 December 2007 Proposed SPA Expert Team on Operational Ocean Forecast Systems (ET-OOFS) (Agenda Item 3.3) Submitted by the SPA Coordinator, Dr. Craig Donlon Summary: This report presents the basis and rationale for an ET-OOFS. Action: The Management Committee is invited to note the information and comment as appropriate. Appendix: Draft Terms of Reference for the ET-OOFS Developing on from the Task Team for Ocean Product Development Following the restructure of the Task Team for Ocean Product Development (TT-OPD) endorsed at MAN-V (October 2006, Geneva) and at SCG-III (November 2006, Exeter) the SPA coordinator has worked closely with the Rapporteur for OOFS and the Secretariat to develop a more palatable approach to developing an appropriate team to help coordinate ocean products and their development. Following a review into why the community was not ready to take up the challenge to coordinate ocean forecast products, it was clear that two things had stalled the team: The TT-OPD remit was far too large and off-putting to even the most supportive groups (too many documents to develop) and The GODAE community was in a relatively dormant phase as new Chairs took up responsibilities from Neville Smith. It was quickly agreed at MAN-V and SCG-III that problem (1) could be solved by reducing the number of technical documents to produce to a minimum and to spread the workload across each ET within the SPA. In fact the SPA coordinator and ET Chairs agreed to provide first version of the JCOMM guide to ocean products, symbology and nomenclature (see below) as this was considered a more rational approach in which the ETs themselves could be brought onto the onerous task of assembling this document. However, what was really required was an overhaul of the way in which JCOMM and the SPA is attempting to develop services. What is a service? The provision of an observational data point? The sustained provision of an operational ocean forecast model output in NRT? The coordination of satellite SST observations for operational use? The delivery of web map servers that amalgamate complementary data sources (e.g., Live Access Servers)? The negotiation and management of new MetAreas? The provision of marine climatological information? All of these examples constitute marine meteorological services amongst many others. What is clear is that many agencies, groups, companies and institutions require products based on ocean forecast systems that assimilate both satellite and in situ data AND the satellite and in situ data themselves. Satellite and ocean model data are not well catered for in the current JCOMM structure despite the realization that in situ data form only a part of the JCOMM user requirements. These are issues tackled by the Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE). The importance of providing structures to sustain the GODAE legacy GODAE continues to develop coordination of ocean forecasting systems across the world and is progressing well. The creation of a dedicated project office and appointment of a full-time staff member has had a tremendous impact on the progression of GODAE. A new web site has been developed ( HYPERLINK "http://www.godae.org" http://www.godae.org) which contains a wealth of information about ocean forecast systems (excluding waves), products and systems. Three key areas within the current GODAE workplan priorities include JCOMM: GODAE Products: Products will be subject to strict quality control. The importance of error characterisation is fully recognised. GODAE groups collaborate closely to consolidate work on metrics and intercomparison to make sure a minimum set of metrics is internationally implemented. In collaboration with JCOMM, product standardisation will be developed and interoperability between systems ensured. Transition from demonstration to operational systems: GODAE will work with JCOMM to define its role for operational oceanography. Examples of transition to operations for the different nations will be promoted. MERCATOR in France, NCOF in the UK, MERSEA in Europe, NOPP projects in the US (e.g. HYCOM, ECCO), BlueLink in Australia and Compass-K in Japan are now preparing the transition to operational status. Observing Systems: The most critical issue for GODAE is the sustainability of the global observing system - especially satellite components. GODAE strongly supports the improvement of the global ocean observing system (altimetry, Argo and SST). Data products generated for GODAE will have added value and impact positive on applications. Note that the GODAE Pilot Projects are now self-sustaining entities that will continue to govern ARGO and operational SST data sets (GHRSST-PP) on a self funding basis (as they have throughout their lifetimes). GODAE and JCOMM A new proposal has been put forward by the SPA Coordinator to harness the legacy of the GODAE program in an ET-OOFS. Such a team would be better placed to develop ocean products through the legacy of GODAE activities such as the ocean forecast system inter-comparison project, the management of the GODAE metrics technical documentation, the GODAE symbology and nomenclature for ocean forecast systems, a Guide to ocean forecast systems of the world and their outputs, defining and refining observation requirements and data management requirements. A draft Terms of Reference for ET-OOFS are provided in the Appendix. There are potential issues with responsibility for some ETMAES, ETWS and ETSI activities and it is clear that the ET-OOFS and ET-MAES substantially overlap. However, there is a clear need to prepare the pull through of GODAE. This proposal and the draft ToR have been received favorably by the GODAE co-chairs and by the JCOMM co-presidents. Given the importance of this proposal (against the background of GODAE ending, the MyOcean project starting etc) and the implications for the current structure of the JCOMM SPA (and indeed the entire JCOMM structure) there may be a need to consider alternative structures/relationships from the current JCOMM structure. Notes on the discussion regarding the IGST discussion of ET-OOFS At the 11th International GODAE Steering Team meeting (IGST XI) St Johns Canada, 9-16th August 2007, the future of GODAE was discussed in some detail. IOC Secretariat Albert Fischer presented a view of the GOOS ideas to continue some GODAE activities beyond 2008 (when GODAE will hold a final symposium and close the current set of activities). JCOMM is expecting to take a leading role in the pull through of the GODAE legacy into operations and to continue to support the required R&D programmes that underpin the development of operational services. It is strongly recommended that JCOMM actively support the GODAE final symposium and MAN is requested to consider the level and type of support that can be provided. A presentation was given to the IGST on behalf of the SPA Coordinator describing JCOMM SPA plans to harness the legacy of GODAE which include a new Expert Team for Operational Ocean Forecast Systems (ET-OOFS) to continue the role of the IGST in a more formal and sustained capacity. This proposal had been endorsed by the JCOMM Co-Presidents and has wide support in the JCOMM Community. This proposal was supported by the IGST noting that a strong dialog between the JCOMM SPA and GODAE groups should be maintained from now on. In practice, a follow on GODAE effort, potentially supported by CEOS, would see the R&D mode of operations fall under the GOOS and the operational components fall under the JCOMM SPA ET-OOFS. A mechanism for continuation of the GODAE work on the main science issues (R&D components) facing operational oceanography over the coming decade is still under discussion, but may involve coordination with IOC and both CAS and the WCRP. Substantial crossover will be required between ET-OOFS and the science mechanism, to ensure that the work is complementary, and that science results are carried through to operations in a coherent way. The GODAE Co-Chairs favors an arrangement similar to the approach used by IICWG and ETSI in which the ETSI provides a formal component and the IICWG a forum for wide ranging and open discussion. Following further discussions with the GODAE Co-Chairs, this approach is recommended by the SPA Coordinator. However, in order to be successful it may be necessary to revise the current structure of the SPA and indeed JCOMM as a whole as ocean forecast systems are cross cutting; they require operational wet water observations and large volumes of satellite observations for data assimilation, they have specialized input and output data formats, they require and produce extremely large volumes of data demanding large on-line disk arrays and data management activities, they deliver products through the next generation of on-line map and feature servers and they serve diverse communities from fisheries to climate. The IGST welcomed the proposal for a JCOMM ET-OOFS who noted that the relationship between the ET-OOFS and any future IGST Science Team will be extremely important to get right. This was one of the points considered in a discussion on the future of GODAE at the St Johns IGST meeting in August. There is general agreement within the IGST that a somewhat similar group is needed to continue global-scale international collaboration on operational oceanography and that a new "IGST" should focus its activities on the science issues. Choosing the right long-term and short-term objectives for the new group is agreed to be key. IGST intends to develop a white paper to be discussed at the GODAE final symposium on the main science issues that operational oceanography will need to address in the next 5-10 years. Given the importance of the link with the ET-OOFS, the long-term objectives of the new IGST should be framed to be coherent with the objectives of the ET-OOFS. The following points were provided by the GODAE Co-Chairs: Given the importance of the relationship between the ET-OOFS and any future GODAE/IGST follow-on science group we hope that JCOMM will in future be prepared to adjust the ToRs to complement the ToRs of the new "IGST" science group. The IGST has been developing and maintaining, with annual updates, coordinated technical descriptions of the forecast systems. The Guide to the systems proposed in ET-OOFS ToR will have some areas of overlap with these descriptions. This is good in the sense that some of what is required is already in reasonable shape. Duplication of information and effort should of course be avoided. The JCOMM ET-OOFS should certainly develop an inter-comparison framework. This should of course be done in coordination with the IGST which has worked on this task for many years. Observation requirements should also be defined in close collaboration with the IGST. The membership and work-load of the ET-OOFS and the replacement IGST should be thought through to work out the right degree of overlap between members. The ET-OOFS and the IGST will need different skills (technical & operational experts for the ET-OOFS and scientists/researchers for the new IGST) and must avoid over-burdening the same individuals. MAN is requested to consider these issues and to endorse the ET-OOFS and ToR. Appendix Draft Terms of reference for the ET-OOFS Noting the rapid development of operational ocean forecasting systems and the need for information and coordination f these systems, the JCOMM Service Program Area has convened an Expert Team for Operational Ocean Forecast Systems (ET-OOFS). The following draft terms of Reference are provided for discussion and endorsement at MAN-VI: ToR for ET-OOFS (v2.0, following review by JCOMM co-Presidents and GODAE co-Chairs) Develop and maintain 'The Guide to Operational Oceanographic Forecasting systems of the World" Provide advice to JCOMM teams and member states on the application, nomenclature, symbology and standards used by operational ocean forecasting systems; Develop and operate an inter-comparison framework for NRT monitoring of OOFS outputs building on the legacy of GODAE; Work effectively with the Scientific community developing and maintaining OOFS (e.g., GODAE and GODAE follow on); Provide observation requirements for OOFS to the JCOMM Observations Programme Area (OPA); Provide advice to the JCOMM Data Management Programme Areas (DMPA); Provide advice to Members/Member States on operational Ocean Forecast systems. 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